If youre hoping for some TV drama this weeks debates might deliver
In 1984, it was the artfully indignant Tory leader Brian Mulroney, stabbing the air with his finger and berating then-Liberal prime minister John Turner â" âYou had an option, sir!â â" about his decision to approve patronage appointments made by the retiring Pierre Trudeau.
In 2011, it was Jack Layton turning squarely to Michael Ignatieff and tearing into the Liberal leader for having âthe worst attendance recordâ in the House of Commons: âYou know,â said the NDP leader, âmost Canadians, if they donât show up for work, they donât get a promotion.â
Read more: Federal leaders face off over COVID-19 and vaccinations in first election debate
The federal leadersâ debate can be seen as a made-for-TV courtroom drama, with the audience waiting and watching for that prosecutorial âgasp momentâ â" Jâaccuse! â" when a dagger hits its mark and fortunes rise and fall.
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The knockout punch. The unforgettable zinger.
It doesnât always happen, but it could in this contest.
When the leaders of the five main parties square off on Wednesday for the campaignâs second French-language debate and a night later for the only English-language tilt, each of them will have been carefully prepped by their handlers to do two things, above all else: to seize the moment when they can catch an off-balance rival with a deeply wounding accusation, and to get their guard up fast when oneâs coming at them.
No one stole the spotlight in the TVA debate last Thursday in Montreal, despite several fiery exchanges â" over vaccines, health care, guns and climate change â" between Bloc Québécois Leader Yves-François Blanchet, NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Conservative Leader Erin OâToole.
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When Green Leader Annamie Paul joins the fray this week, sheâll be the third lawyer on stage along with Singh and OâToole. Can we expect a stinging indictment of Trudeau over Canadaâs still increasing greenhouse gas emissions or his governmentâs purchase of an oil pipeline? Will OâToole be interrogated into silence over his partyâs refusal to declare climate change ârealâ?
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Will Trudeau or OâToole force some startling admission from the other over two-tier healthcare or vaccines? Could Singh stagger Blanchet on the issue of systemic racism? Will OâToole â" or any of the opposition leaders â" finally force Trudeau to confess his election call was ill-timed?
Tune in this week and find out.
The other possibility is an out-of-the-blue revelation that stuns the courtroom. It was only thanks to some clever NDP strategists in 2011 that Layton was able to leave Ignatieff sputtering and guilt-faced in the prisonerâs dock, caught unaware by the Commons attendance shocker.
Read more: How to watch the federal leadersâ debate on Global News
Serious political observers always lament the focus on single moments of drama when it comes to leadersâ debates, urging voters to assess each candidateâs overall discussion of the key issues and to earnestly consider the strength of the many arguments and counterarguments about federal-provincial relations, budget deficits, foreign affairs and the like.
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Image analysts, meanwhile, are more concerned about what the leaders wear, the potential impact of having a mustache or glasses, the gestures they make with their hands, and such immutable attributes as age, gender, height and vocal pitch.
But with leadersâ debates, all of us â" pundits, partisans and just plain folks â" really are spectators in the visitorsâ gallery on the set of The Good Fight, craving a sudden plot twist, a withering attack, a damning disclosure.
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Leadersâ debates in Canada are not mass-audience spectacles like an Olympic gold-medal hockey game or the final episode of a beloved, long-running sitcom. The people who watch these political contests are typically already engaged in the election campaign, have likely made up their minds long before the event is broadcast, and are stoked about the possibility that a defining moment may occur.
Thatâs not to say a debate without a memorable highlight canât be influential. Public opinion may be shifted through subsequent news coverage, expertsâ conclusions about who won or lost, and the ensuing social media chatter â" all of which, of course, are being influenced by partisans on all sides.
4:01 Canada election: poll suggestions Trudeau still seen as best pick for PM, Singh is âmost trustedâ Canada election: poll suggestions Trudeau still seen as best pick for PM, Singh is âmost trustedâAnd viewers can use debates to reinforce or unsettle certain superficial assumptions they may have about the leaders in terms of their sincerity or slipperiness, confidence or unease, mental sharpness or befuddlement.
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A voter might ask: âIs this the kind of person Iâd feel comfortable having a beer or coffee with?â And the debate might yield an answer, offering at least a general impression of a leaderâs likeability. But again, those impressions are surely well established for most viewers long before the cameras roll that night.
Televised debates, in short, are not a great way for us to decide how to vote or which of the performers should become prime minister. Citizens of a democratic country shouldnât let a few hours of TV entertainment determine which party might form the best government.
It would probably be better if a non-partisan panel of experts devised an LSAT-style exam testing each applicantâs suitability for running a national government. We could lock the candidates in a room for three hours, tally the number of correct answers, and announce each party leaderâs score at a post-exam press conference.
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But we all love a good show. And the leadersâ debate is more than a process that objectively measures the qualifications necessary to lead the country.
So we watch and crave a jolt of excitement. Itâs juvenile. Itâs voyeuristic. Itâs fun.
And itâs the obvious takeaway from such a contest. The one sure-fire way to tell if something significant has happened, if perhaps some history is being made before our eyes, is if one of the participants turns toward another and rips them rhetorically to shreds.
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We particularly recall those confrontations when thereâs some evidence that they moved the needle of public opinion and the election outcome seems to have been crucially affected.
The story of Mulroneyâs sweeping majority victory in â84 is typically linked to that âpivotalâ exchange with Turner over patronage in the televised debate. Less often does the analysis extend to Mulroneyâs subsequent record for rewarding Tory friends with patronage plums.
Laytonâs precision strike on Ignatieff 10 years ago is routinely cited as one explanation for the startling Orange Wave that carried the NDP to its best-ever election result â" 103 seats â" and Official Opposition status. Itâs also come to symbolize the historically steep decline in Liberal fortunes in that election and the end of Ignatieffâs political career.
The fact that Laytonâs success was also a major factor in Stephen Harper winning his only Conservative majority â" hardly an ideal scenario for NDP voters â" complicates the narrative.
But thatâs the thing about the gasp moment in a leadersâ debate. Itâs all we really remember.
Randy Boswell is a Carleton University journalism professor and former Postmedia News national reporter.
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